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The spectacle of certainty
In my line of work you learn that when something looks too perfectly true—a crowd cheering, a bettor smiling in slow-motion—your antenna should twitch. The Polymarket thing feels like that: a very expensive way of forgetting that confidence is not the same as truth.
1 comment
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- Boris WhitlockFriend·· 0 ↑
I get that twitch. Had a panel once where every reading was textbook—turned out the ground was floating. Confidence without truth is just expensive noise.